Forecasting the final 100 or so games for all 30 MLB teams
One of my earliest posts on this blog was adapting Andrew Gelman’s “Stan Goes to the World Cup” model to rank MLB teams back in 2018. Over the years I’ve gotten quite a bit of mileage out of that model, using it for World Series projections that same year, for postseason projections in 2020 and then evaluating those projections after the 2020 season concluded. This year I’m using that same model to forecast wins for all 30 MLB teams over the remaining 100 or so games of the 2024 season.